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Fall 2021 Market Update

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Santa Clara County’s Housing Performance

In the latest report from the California Association of Realtors, single-family home prices in Santa Clara County are up 16.2% from a year ago, reaching $1.63 million and sales are up nearly 3%.

When you drill down into the County’s October numbers compared to a year ago, we see a positive report card:

  • Shortened days on market (DOM) -- reduced from 20 to 14 days
  • Decreased sales during the month of October -- dropping from 1118 to 1094
  • Rising offers over list price -- rising from 103% to 109%

As we near the end of 2021, we’re starting to see a drop off of inventory which is typical of the upcoming holiday season.

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Similarly San Mateo County single-family residence sale prices have seen an uptick when comparing October performance year over year. While overall sales are down, the percentage of over-asking sales has seen a marked increase to 109%.
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Bay Area Economic Markers

In a recent Mercury News article, the Bay Area and California posted their weakest job gains in eight months. The nine-county Bay Area added less than 12,000 jobs in September while California gained just over 47,000 jobs. The state’s unemployment rate remained unchanged at 7.5%, which is still far above the record-low jobless rate reported in 2019’s pre-pandemic economy. As to inflation worries, the Bay Area saw the highest jump in three years, reaching 3.8%, which translated into higher costs for food, fuel, vehicles, and utilities.

Predictions for California’s Housing Market

The California Association of Realtors has a new Chief Economist. Jordan G. Levine revealed his economic and housing market forecast at the REimagine! Real Estate Virtual Conference & Expo in early October. Here are some highlights of his presentation:

  • California’s economy is healing yet still has a long way to go.
  • The Covid-19 crisis insulated the housing market as it hit the leisure & hospitality and retail sectors the hardest. High-wage sectors are much closer to full recovery.
  • 10-year Treasury and 30-year mortgage rates are low by historical standards.
  • Year-over-year home price rose 16.8%, unsold inventory dropped to 1.3 months (-48%), median DOM dropped 60.7% to 11 days, and the average sales to list price rose nearly 2% to 100.1%.
  • 20 cities in less urban areas (e.g., Big Bear, South Lake Tahoe, Truckee) grew by more than 40%.
  • Buyers’ demand shifted towards single-family homes with more square footage, pushing down the demand for condos and townhomes.
  • 32% of first-time home buyers have 20% or more for down-payments, down from 33.1% in 2020 but up from 23.9% in 2006.
  • SF Bay Area home sales are growing faster than other areas, reaching 32.8% compared to SoCal’s 23.2% and California’s overall average of 21.3%.
  • Housing affordability and availability are still a major issue for home buyers.
  • On the positive side: home prices are expected to continue to rise, rates will continue to be favorable, and the economic tide is rising.

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A Sellers Market

Given inventory levels, buyer demands, and low mortgage rates, it’s still a seller’s market. If you’re considering selling your home, now is the time to begin planning. Many of my clients received multiple offers within days of listing. Yet, every home and neighborhood is unique. Now is the perfect time to talk to me about your options.
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Reach Out & Connect

I’m meeting with clients via phone, video conferencing, and by appointment. Whether you’re looking to buy or sell, you need an experienced guide in this complex and fast-paced real estate market. I’ve helped hundreds of individuals like you successfully negotiate the most important financial transaction you’ll ever make.

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